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中国博士后科学基金(20110491855)

作品数:2 被引量:10H指数:2
相关作者:肖国生王兆丹陈林更多>>
相关机构:中国人民解放军第三军医大学军事预防医学院重庆三峡学院更多>>
发文基金:中国博士后科学基金国家自然科学基金重庆市自然科学基金更多>>
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Occurrence and infection risk of waterborne pathogens in Wanzhou watershed of the Three Gorges Reservoir, China被引量:7
2013年
The Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), formed by China's Yangtze Three Gorges Project, is the largest lake in the world, but there is too little information available about fecal contamination and waterborne pathogen impacts on this aquatic ecosystem. During two successive 1-year study periods (July 2009 to July 2011), the water quality in Wanzhou watershed of the TGR was tested with regard to the presence of fecal indicators and pathogens. According to Chinese and World Health Organization water quality standards, water quality in the mainstream was good but poor in backwater areas. Salmonella, Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC), Giardia and Cryptosporidium were detected in the watershed. Prevalence and concentrations of the pathogens in the mainstream were lower than those in backwater areas. The estimated risk of infection with Salmonella, EHEC, Cryptosporidium, and Giardia per exposure event ranged from 2.9 × 10 -7 to 1.68 × 10-5 , 7.04 × 10-10 to 2.36 × 10-7 , 5.39 × 10-6 to 1.25 × 10-4 and 0 to 1.2 × 10-3 , respectively, for occupational divers and recreational swimmers exposed to the waters. The estimated risk of infection at exposure to the 95% upper confidence limit concentrations of Salmonella, Cryptosporidium and Giardia may be up to 2.62 × 10-5 , 2.55 × 10-4 and 2.86 × 10-3 , respectively. This study provides useful information for the residents, health care workers and managers to improve the safety of surface water and reduce the risk of fecal contamination in the TGR.
Guosheng XiaoZhaodan WangJi'an ChenZhiqun QiuYanjie LiJunsheng QiWenyi LiuWeiqun Shu
微生物定量风险评价被引量:4
2013年
微生物定量风险评价是一种以定量的方式评价人暴露病原微生物后发生健康不良风险的可能性,它包括危害识别、危害表征、剂量-反应评价、暴露评价和风险表征。通过危害识别和危害表征识别和量化病原因子后,利用剂量-反应评价确定病原暴露水平(剂量)与相应健康不良结果的严重程度和发生频度(反应)之间的关系。在剂量-反应评价中,指数模型和β-泊松模型是最常用的剂量-反应模型。风险表征是在整合危害识别、危害表征、剂量-反应评价和暴露评价的基础上,利用静态微生物风险评价模型或动态微生物风险评价模型定量估计在特定暴露条件下相关人群发生不良影响的可能性和严重程度,包括伴随的不确定性。微生物定量风险评价有助于理解和管理病原危害,获得的定量信息能更好地确定病原微生物风险的大小,权衡和改进病原风险控制措施。文章评述了微生物定量风险评价过程和模型,并以三峡库区万州饮用水隐孢子虫风险为例介绍如何实施微生物定量风险评价,期望为我国微生物定量风险评价研究提供有益的参考。
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关键词:病原微生物风险分析定量风险评价风险评价模型
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