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国家自然科学基金(41075074)

作品数:6 被引量:22H指数:4
相关作者:张述文刘彦华薛宏宇毛璐叶丹更多>>
相关机构:兰州大学中国人民解放军94923部队更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划更多>>
相关领域:天文地球农业科学更多>>

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A Multimodel Ensemble-based Kalman Filter for the Retrieval of Soil Moisture Profiles被引量:5
2011年
With the combination of three land surface models (LSMs) and the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), a multimodel EnKF is proposed in which the multimodel background superensemble error covariance matrix is estimated by two different algorithms: the Simple Model Average (SMA) and the Weighted Average Method (WAM). The two algorithms are tested and compared in terms of their abilities to retrieve the true soil moisture profile by respectively assimilating both synthetically-generated and actual near-surface soil moisture measurements. The results from the synthetic experiment show that the performances of the SMA and WAM algorithms were quite different. The SMA algorithm did not help to improve the estimates of soil moisture at the deep layers, although its performance was not the worst when compared with the results from the single-model EnKF. On the contrary, the results from the WAM algorithm were better than those from any single-model EnKF. The tested results from assimilating the field measurements show that the performance of the two multimodel EnKF algorithms was very stable compared with the single-model EnKF. Although comparisons could only be made at three shallow layers, on average, the performance of the WAM algorithm was still slightly better than that of the SMA algorithm. As a result, the WAM algorithm should be adopted to approximate the multimodel background superensemble error covariance and hence used to estimate soil moisture states at the relatively deep layers.
张述文李得勤邱崇践
关键词:ENKF
变分方法估算西北半干旱区地表热通量的适用性研究
利用2009年6-8月兰州大学半干旱气候与环境观测站(SACOL)的地表辐射观测资料,近地层大气温度、湿度和水平风速的三层梯度观测资料,以及热通量的涡动相关观测资料,比较了变分法估算的地表热通量与涡动相关观测值间差异,评...
曹帮军张述文
关键词:变分法涡动相关法地表热通量相似函数
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Ensemble Square Root Filter Assimilation of Near-Surface Soil Moisture and Reference-Level Observations into a Coupled Land Surface-Boundary Layer Model被引量:4
2013年
The potential for using the ensemble square root filter data assimilation technique to estimate soil moisture profiles, surface heat fluxes, and the state of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) is explored. An observing system simulation experiment is designed to mimic the assimilation of near-surface soil moisture observations (θo ) and in-situ measurements of 2-m temperature (To ), 2-m specific humidity (Qo ), and 10-m horizontal winds [Vo =(Uo , Vo )]. The background forecasts are generated by a one-dimensional coupled land surface-boundary layer model (CLS-BLM) with soil, surface-layer and PBL parameterization schemes similar to those used in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Soil moisture, surface heat fluxes, and the state of the PBL evolve on different characteristic timescales, so the minimum assimilation time intervals required for skillful estimates of each target component are different. Correct estimates of the soil moisture profile are obtained effectively when a 6-h update time interval is used, while skillful estimates of surface fluxes and the PBL state require more frequent updates. The CLS-BLM requires a shorter assimilation time interval to correctly estimate the soil moisture profile than previously indicated by experiments using an off-line land surface model (LSM). Results from assimilating different subsets of observations show that θo makes a larger contribution to soil moisture estimates, while To , θo , and Vo are more important for estimates of surface heat fluxes and the PBL state. It is therefore necessary to combine these variables to accurately estimate the states of both the land surface and the PBL. Experimentation with different prescribed observational errors shows that the assimilation system is more sensitive to increases in observational errors than to reductions in observational errors.
张述文刘彦华张卫东
关键词:LSM
变分方法估算西北半干旱区地表热通量的适用性研究
利用2009年6-8月兰州大学半干旱气候与环境观测站(SACOL)的地表辐射观测资料,近地层大气温度、湿度和水平风速的三层梯度观测资料,以及热通量的涡动相关观测资料,比较了变分法估算的地表热通量与涡动相关观测值间差异,评...
曹帮军张述文
关键词:变分法涡动相关法地表热通量相似函数
模式时间关联误差对集合平方根滤波估算土壤湿度的影响被引量:5
2015年
为了定量评估模式时间关联误差对NOAH陆面模式同化表层土壤湿度观测估算土壤湿度廓线的影响,采用集合平方根滤波(En SRF)与状态增广相结合的技术,开展同时更新状态变量和订正模式偏差的观测系统模拟试验,结果表明:同化时若不对存在较大系统性偏差的模式时间关联误差进行处理,En SRF就不能有效估算土壤湿度廓线,而采用状态增广和En SRF相结合的技术,可以在更新土壤湿度时同步订正模式偏差,土壤湿度估算精度明显提高。敏感性试验进一步表明:模式偏差大小、同化时间间隔和观测误差会以不同方式对同化结果造成影响。
毛伏平张述文叶丹杨茜茜
关键词:土壤湿度
评估两类模式对陆面状态的模拟和估算被引量:7
2013年
针对夏季土壤变干过程,利用观测系统模拟试验,比较离线的陆面模式(LSM)和耦合大气边界层的陆面模式(SCM)对土壤温度、湿度和地表热通量等陆面状态的模拟,然后借助数据同化方法,评估2类模式对陆面状态的估算能力。结果显示:2类模式除对地表长波辐射和感热通量的模拟差别较大外,对其余量则较小;只同化表层土壤湿度观测时,LSM对土壤湿度和感热通量的估算好于SCM,对土壤温度的估算则相反,而对潜热通量估算的差距很小;同时同化表层土壤温度、湿度观测会使地表热通量的估算差距增大;最后对2类模式不同表现的可能原因进行分析讨论。上述数值模拟和同化结果:当用某一类模式的模拟结果或同化产品为另一类不同模式提供初边界条件时必须注意它们之间的差异,避免出现输入量引起的模式状态量间的动力不协调现象。
刘彦华张述文毛璐薛宏宇
关键词:陆面模式大气边界层数值模拟数据同化
有参数误差时估算土壤湿度的集合平方根滤波同化方法被引量:1
2013年
当陆面模式存在参数误差时,借助在NOAH陆面模式中同化表层土壤湿度的观测系统模拟试验,探讨同时估算土壤湿度廓线和校正土壤参数的集合平方根滤波方案的可行性.结果表明:准确校正参数对估算土壤湿度廓线非常重要,错误参数值会严重影响对模式状态量的更新.但是模式状态和参数同时更新的同化方案对参数的初估值较为敏感,只有选取合适的初估值才能保证参数校正和状态估计成功.
薛宏宇张述文刘彦华
关键词:参数校正土壤湿度数据同化
集合平方根滤波同化AMSU-A辐射率的观测系统模拟试验
2015年
借助观测系统模拟试验,针对晴天和有降水两种天气状况,探究用集合平方根滤波同化卫星辐射率资料来改进中尺度天气预报模式初始场的可行性.试验结果表明:在晴天条件下,同化后的分析场较同化前背景场更加接近于真实场,尤其是对所选AMSU-A第5通道辐射率观测值贡献较大的那些层,如500,700,800 hPa3层位温的分析场相对背景场均方根误差分别减小了26%,15%和42%,同化效果显著.在有降水天气状况下,试验结果在特定的高度层上也表现出一定的正贡献,但总体而言对各气象要素场的改善均不及晴天时明显,说明该种天气类型下的卫星资料同化还有待进一步的研究.
毛璐张述文王恬刘彦华
关键词:资料同化
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