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国家自然科学基金(40205013)

作品数:3 被引量:28H指数:2
相关作者:季劲钧叶笃正更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院大气物理研究所更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划更多>>
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The Soil Moisture of China in a High Resolution Climate-Vegetation Model被引量:10
2005年
The spatial distribution of soil moisture, especially the temporal variation at seasonal and interannual scales, is difficult for many land surface models (LSMs) to capture partly due to the deficiencies of the LSMs and the highly spatial variability of soil moisture, which makes it problematic to simulate the moisture for climate studies. However the soil moisture plays an important role in influencing the energy and hydrological cycles between the land and air, so it should be considered in land surface models. In this paper, a soil moisture simulation in China with a T213 resolution (about 0.5625°× 0.5625°) is compared to the observational data, and its relationship to precipitation is explored. The soil moisture distribution agrees roughly with the observations, and the soil moisture pattern reflects the variation and intensity of the precipitation. In particular, for the 1998 summer catastrophic floods along the Yangtze River, the soil moisture remains high in this region from July to August and represents the flood well. The seasonal cycle of soil moisture is roughly consistent with the observed data, which is a good calibration for the ground simulation capacity of the Atmosphere-Vegetation Interaction Model (AVIM) with respect to this tough problem for land surface models.
丹利季劲钧张培群
关键词:PRECIPITATION
迎接大气科学发展即将到来的新飞跃被引量:16
2005年
一门学科中新的事实的发现、新的观测手段和新技术的应用都会引发新理论,从而促进这门学科一个大发展.大气科学发展的历史,就是沿上述道路前进的.近10多年来,对大气、海洋、陆面、生物和冰雪圈进行了大规模、四维的观测,获得了海量的资料.同时,组织了丰富多彩的多项国际和地区的研究计划.通过对观测资料的深入分析和研究,必将发现许多新事实和新现象.这是大气科学即将到来的一个飞跃时期的事实基础.展望未来10~20年大气科学重大发展,预估将会有多方面的重大突破.新事实和新现象将催生大气科学新理论出现;对气候系统中各种过程的深入了解,巨型计算机的发展,使得新气候环境模式将会出现;这将是一个集地球系统中物理、化学和生物学等自然过程和人类社会经济活动的综合的模拟系统;对于人类生活环境有重大影响的气候突变现象的发生发展机理的了解将会比现在前进一大步;能够发现一些气候突变的阈值和一些气候突变的前期信号;对于未来气候的稳定性、极端气候的发生、海平面升高的程度都将会有比较确切的回答;气候预测的精度也将大大提高.
叶笃正季劲钧
关键词:大气科学
The Interactive Climate and Vegetation Along the Pole-Equator Belts Simulated by a Global Coupled Model被引量:2
2007年
The interaction between climate and vegetation along four Pole-Equator-Pole (PEP) belts were explored using a global two-way coupled model, AVIM-GOALS, which links the ecophysiological processes at the land surface with the general circulation model (GCM). The PEP belts are important in linking the climate change with the variation of sea and land, including terrestrial ecosystems. Previous PEP belts studies have mainly focused on the paleoclimate variation and its reconstruction. This study analyzes and discusses the interaction between modern climate and vegetation represented by leaf area index (LAI) and net primary production (NPP). The results show that the simulated LAI variation, corresponding to the observed LAI variation, agrees with the peak-valley variation of precipitation in these belts. The annual mean NPP simulated by the coupled model is also consistent with PIK NPP data in its overall variation trend along the four belts, which is a good example to promote global ecological studies by coupling the climate and vegetation models. A large discrepancy between the simulated and estimated LAI emerges to the south of 15°N along PEP 3 and to the south of 18°S in PEP 1S, and the discrepancy for the simulated NPP and PIK data in the two regions is relatively smaller in contrast to the LAI difference. Precipitation is a key factor affecting vegetation variation, and the overall trend of LAI and NPP corresponds more obviously to precipitation variation than temperature change along most parts of these PEP belts.
丹利季劲钧李银鹏
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